Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Noah · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
FC Noah are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Zimbru are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Noah hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (50.3 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.4% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while FC Noah holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Noah
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
FC Noah has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20