Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Minsk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
FC Minsk are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Smorgon are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Minsk hold a 14.8-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 33.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while FC Minsk holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Minsk
Probability
49.6%
Model confidence
49.6%
FC Minsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80