GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 7/30/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Beşiktaş · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

FC Midtjylland are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Beşiktaş are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Beşiktaş hold a 63.0-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 84.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.9% in the UEFA Europa League, while Beşiktaş holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Beşiktaş

Probability

46.1%

Model confidence

13.9%

Beşiktaş has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC MidtjyllandWLWWW

GF 17 · GA 6 · avg 3.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
BeşiktaşWLDLD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
FC MidtjyllandBeşiktaş
0.0Attack41.7
50.0Defence100.0
0.0Form100.0
21.5Power84.6
0.98xG1.43
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