GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/18/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Luzern · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FC Luzern are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while St. Truiden are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 3.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Luzern hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (59.0 v 55.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while FC Luzern holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Luzern

Probability

41.8%

Model confidence

41.8%

FC Luzern has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC LuzernWWWWW

GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
St. TruidenWWWWL

GF 16 · GA 4 · avg 3.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
FC LuzernSt. Truiden
56.7Attack50.0
63.3Defence57.1
56.7Form57.1
59.0Power55.6
1.61xG1.02
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