Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Thun · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
FC Luzern are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while FC Thun are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Thun hold a 7.6-point power-rating edge (23.1 v 30.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.8% in the Super League, while FC Thun holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Thun
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
FC Thun has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40