GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 6/27/2026, 8:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Lugano · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

FC Lugano are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Neuchatel Xamax FC are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 48.4 against 49.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while FC Lugano holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Lugano

Probability

38.1%

Model confidence

38.1%

FC Lugano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC LuganoWDLWW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Neuchatel Xamax FCLWWLW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
FC LuganoNeuchatel Xamax FC
52.4Attack70.0
42.9Defence30.0
47.6Form53.3
48.4Power49.2
2.42xG2.22
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