Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Lugano · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
FC Lugano are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while FC Zurich are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Lugano hold a 61.7-point power-rating edge (91.2 v 29.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.7% in the Super League, while FC Lugano holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Lugano
Probability
68.7%
Model confidence
68.7%
FC Lugano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00