Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
FC Lahti are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Turku PS are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 52.7 against 53.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 21.4% in the Veikkausliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
21.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20