Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
FC Lahti are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Gnistan are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 52.7 against 53.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.0% in the Veikkausliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80