Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lahti · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Lahti are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while FF Jaro are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Lahti hold a 19.9-point power-rating edge (52.7 v 32.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.5% in the Veikkausliiga, while Lahti holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lahti
Probability
65.5%
Model confidence
65.5%
Lahti has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20