Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Puebla · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
FC Juarez are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Puebla are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Puebla hold a 35.6-point power-rating edge (15.5 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.5% in the Liga MX, while Puebla holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Puebla
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Puebla has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20