Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC jazz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
FC jazz are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while TPV are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FC jazz hold a 7.6-point power-rating edge (48.9 v 41.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.0% in the Ykkönen, while FC jazz holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC jazz
Probability
51.0%
Model confidence
51.0%
FC jazz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20