Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC jazz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
FC jazz are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while SalPa are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and SalPa hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (48.9 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.1% in the Ykkönen, while FC jazz holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC jazz
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
11.1%
FC jazz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40