GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/18/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Palermo · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FC Ingolstadt 04 are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Palermo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Palermo hold an 18.2-point power-rating edge (53.5 v 71.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Palermo holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Palermo

Probability

35.5%

Model confidence

35.5%

Palermo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC Ingolstadt 04WWWWL

GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PalermoWLLWD

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FC Ingolstadt 04Palermo
41.7Attack40.0
54.2Defence86.7
62.5Form80.0
53.5Power71.7
1.14xG1.30
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