Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Gomel · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
FC Gomel are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Naftan are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Gomel hold a 27.3-point power-rating edge (57.8 v 30.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.9% in the Premier League, while FC Gomel holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Gomel
Probability
74.8%
Model confidence
16.9%
FC Gomel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80