Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Gomel · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
FC Gomel are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while FC Minsk are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and fC Gomel hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (57.8 v 53.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely result in the Premier League, favouring FC Gomel with 15.6% confidence, a 39% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Gomel
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
15.6%
FC Gomel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40