FC Dallasvs
St. Louis City
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 4/12/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Dallas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
FC Dallas are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while St. Louis City are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Dallas hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (55.6 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.3% in the Major League Soccer, while FC Dallas holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Dallas
Probability
45.3%
Model confidence
45.3%
FC Dallas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40