GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 3/1/2026, 1:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nashville SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FC Dallas are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Nashville SC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Nashville SC hold a 17.1-point power-rating edge (55.6 v 72.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.3% in the Major League Soccer, while Nashville SC holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nashville SC

Probability

53.3%

Model confidence

53.3%

Nashville SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC DallasWDLWW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Nashville SCWLWDW

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
FC DallasNashville SC
59.3Attack68.4
53.7Defence73.7
50.0Form75.4
55.6Power72.7
1.01xG1.85
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