FC Dallasvs
Minnesota United FC
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 4/23/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Dallas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
FC Dallas are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Minnesota United FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Dallas hold an 8.6-point power-rating edge (55.6 v 47.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.1% in the Major League Soccer, while FC Dallas holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Dallas
Probability
54.1%
Model confidence
54.1%
FC Dallas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60