GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 4/19/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Dallas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FC Dallas are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Los Angeles Galaxy are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Dallas hold an 11.4-point power-rating edge (55.6 v 44.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.7% in the Major League Soccer, while FC Dallas holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Dallas

Probability

56.7%

Model confidence

56.7%

FC Dallas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC DallasDWWDL

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Los Angeles GalaxyWLDLL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
FC DallasLos Angeles Galaxy
59.3Attack40.0
53.7Defence50.0
50.0Form36.7
55.6Power44.2
1.99xG0.99
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