GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 3/22/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Dallas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

FC Dallas are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Houston Dynamo are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 55.6 against 56.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.3% in the Major League Soccer, while FC Dallas holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Dallas

Probability

45.5%

Model confidence

12.3%

FC Dallas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC DallasDLDWD

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Houston DynamoWLWWW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
FC DallasHouston Dynamo
59.3Attack50.0
53.7Defence55.6
50.0Form59.3
55.6Power56.2
1.70xG1.29
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