GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 7/22/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vancouver Whitecaps · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Highconfidence

FC Cincinnati are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 3.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Vancouver Whitecaps are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Vancouver Whitecaps hold a 17.5-point power-rating edge (50.9 v 68.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.6% in the Major League Soccer, while Vancouver Whitecaps holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vancouver Whitecaps

Probability

65.6%

Model confidence

65.6%

Vancouver Whitecaps has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC CincinnatiWWDLD

GF 17 · GA 13 · avg 3.40/2.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Vancouver WhitecapsDWWLW

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
FC CincinnatiVancouver Whitecaps
83.3Attack74.5
18.5Defence66.7
48.1Form66.7
50.9Power68.4
1.70xG3.52
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