FC Cincinnativs
San Jose Earthquakes
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 8/1/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Jose Earthquakes · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-3
FC Cincinnati are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 3.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while San Jose Earthquakes are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and San Jose Earthquakes hold an 8.1-point power-rating edge (50.9 v 58.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.8% in the Major League Soccer, while San Jose Earthquakes holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 87% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
San Jose Earthquakes
Probability
46.8%
Model confidence
46.8%
San Jose Earthquakes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 11 · avg 3.40/2.20
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20