GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 8/1/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Jose Earthquakes · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-3

Highconfidence

FC Cincinnati are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 3.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while San Jose Earthquakes are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and San Jose Earthquakes hold an 8.1-point power-rating edge (50.9 v 58.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.8% in the Major League Soccer, while San Jose Earthquakes holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 87% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Jose Earthquakes

Probability

46.8%

Model confidence

46.8%

San Jose Earthquakes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC CincinnatiLWWWD

GF 17 · GA 11 · avg 3.40/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
San Jose EarthquakesDLLWL

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
FC CincinnatiSan Jose Earthquakes
83.3Attack66.7
18.5Defence52.6
48.1Form57.9
50.9Power58.9
2.48xG3.07
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