GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 5/23/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Cincinnati · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-2

Highconfidence

FC Cincinnati are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Orlando City SC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Cincinnati hold a 14.2-point power-rating edge (50.9 v 36.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.7% in the Major League Soccer, while FC Cincinnati holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 89% BTTS chance and 95% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Cincinnati

Probability

62.7%

Model confidence

62.7%

FC Cincinnati has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC CincinnatiDLDWW

GF 13 · GA 12 · avg 2.60/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Orlando City SCDWLWL

GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
FC CincinnatiOrlando City SC
83.3Attack55.6
18.5Defence13.0
48.1Form37.0
50.9Power36.6
4.50xG2.41
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