FC Cincinnativs
Chicago Fire
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 4/18/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chicago Fire · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
FC Cincinnati are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Chicago Fire are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Chicago Fire hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (50.9 v 58.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.1% in the Major League Soccer, while Chicago Fire holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 85% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chicago Fire
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
46.1%
Chicago Fire has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 15 · avg 1.60/3.00
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60