GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 3/22/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Cincinnati · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

FC Cincinnati are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while CF Montreal are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Cincinnati hold a 13.1-point power-rating edge (50.9 v 37.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.8% in the Major League Soccer, while FC Cincinnati holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Cincinnati

Probability

62.8%

Model confidence

62.8%

FC Cincinnati has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC CincinnatiLLLWL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CF MontrealLWLLL

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
FC CincinnatiCF Montreal
83.3Attack44.4
18.5Defence35.2
48.1Form29.6
50.9Power37.8
3.63xG1.92
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