GGOALVIO

Germany · Regionalliga - Nordost · 8/9/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

FC Carl Zeiss Jena are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt hold a 12.0-point power-rating edge (68.7 v 80.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Regionalliga - Nordost, favouring a draw with 12.4% confidence, a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

26.7%

Model confidence

12.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Carl Zeiss JenaWWLWW

GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Rot-weiss ErfurtWDWLW

GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Carl Zeiss JenaRot-weiss Erfurt
66.7Attack100.0
77.8Defence77.8
66.7Form77.8
68.7Power80.7
1.51xG1.50
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