FC Cajamarcavs
Universitario
SCHEDULEDPeru · Primera División · 8/16/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Universitario · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
FC Cajamarca are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Universitario are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Universitario hold a 17.5-point power-rating edge (41.2 v 58.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.4% in the Primera División, while Universitario holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Universitario
Probability
51.7%
Model confidence
13.4%
Universitario has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20