GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 5/15/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sporting Cristal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FC Cajamarca are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Sporting Cristal are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sporting Cristal hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (43.3 v 48.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.4% in the Primera División, while Sporting Cristal holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sporting Cristal

Probability

37.4%

Model confidence

37.4%

Sporting Cristal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC CajamarcaWWLLD

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Sporting CristalDLDWL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
FC CajamarcaSporting Cristal
47.6Attack52.4
42.9Defence47.6
33.3Form41.3
43.3Power48.6
1.57xG1.67
View match centre →