GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 3/13/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Cajamarca · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FC Cajamarca are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Comerciantes Unidos are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Comerciantes Unidos hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (43.3 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.4% in the Primera División, while FC Cajamarca holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Cajamarca

Probability

34.4%

Model confidence

34.4%

FC Cajamarca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC CajamarcaLLWLD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Comerciantes UnidosLWLDL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
FC CajamarcaComerciantes Unidos
47.6Attack40.9
42.9Defence56.1
33.3Form39.4
43.3Power47.8
1.32xG1.30
View match centre →