GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 1/9/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Basel 1893 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

FC Basel 1893 are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while SV Elversberg are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and SV Elversberg hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (62.5 v 67.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while FC Basel 1893 holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Basel 1893

Probability

42.6%

Model confidence

42.6%

FC Basel 1893 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC Basel 1893WDWDL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
SV ElversbergDWWDW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FC Basel 1893SV Elversberg
79.2Attack96.7
62.5Defence43.3
54.2Form66.7
62.5Power67.7
2.71xG2.04
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