GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/11/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Winterthur · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FC Basel 1893 are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while FC Winterthur are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Winterthur hold a 10.4-point power-rating edge (62.5 v 73.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while FC Winterthur holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Winterthur

Probability

40.1%

Model confidence

40.1%

FC Winterthur has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC Basel 1893LWLLL

GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 5/5
FC WinterthurLLLLW

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FC Basel 1893FC Winterthur
79.2Attack79.5
62.5Defence69.2
54.2Form74.4
62.5Power73.0
1.45xG1.88
View match centre →