GGOALVIO

Switzerland · Super League · 8/9/2026, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Basel 1893 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

FC Basel 1893 are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while FC Thun are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Basel 1893 hold a 34.0-point power-rating edge (64.7 v 30.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.9% in the Super League, while FC Basel 1893 holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Basel 1893

Probability

55.9%

Model confidence

55.9%

FC Basel 1893 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC Basel 1893LWDDL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
FC ThunWLLWD

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FC Basel 1893FC Thun
55.6Attack55.6
66.7Defence0.0
66.7Form33.3
64.7Power30.7
2.31xG1.22
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