Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Astana · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
FC Astana are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Zhenys are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Astana hold a 14.3-point power-rating edge (61.9 v 47.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.4% in the Premier League, while FC Astana holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Astana
Probability
52.4%
Model confidence
52.4%
FC Astana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20