Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Astana · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
FC Astana are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Ulytau are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Astana hold a 14.6-point power-rating edge (61.9 v 47.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.7% in the Premier League, while FC Astana holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Astana
Probability
53.7%
Model confidence
53.7%
FC Astana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40