Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ordabasy · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
FC Astana are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Ordabasy are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ordabasy hold an 11.7-point power-rating edge (61.9 v 73.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.7% in the Premier League, while Ordabasy holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ordabasy
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
41.7%
Ordabasy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00