Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
13%
MediumconfidenceFC Astana are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Okzhetpes are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and fC Astana hold a 8.9-point power-rating edge (61.9 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Premier League, favouring a draw with 12.7% confidence, a 49% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
26.8%
Model confidence
12.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FC AstanaWWLWW
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
OkzhetpesWLWLL
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FC AstanaOkzhetpes
55.0Attack47.6
65.0Defence54.0
63.3Form52.4
61.9Power53.0
1.67xG0.89