GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · Premier League · 5/9/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Astana · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

FC Astana are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Kyzyl-Zhar are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Astana hold a 17.4-point power-rating edge (61.9 v 44.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.8% in the Premier League, while FC Astana holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Astana

Probability

58.8%

Model confidence

58.8%

FC Astana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC AstanaLLWDD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Kyzyl-ZharLWLWW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FC AstanaKyzyl-Zhar
55.0Attack39.7
65.0Defence52.4
63.3Form36.5
61.9Power44.5
1.78xG0.72
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