GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · Premier League · 3/20/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Astana · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

FC Astana are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while FK Tobol Kostanay are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Astana hold an 18.1-point power-rating edge (61.9 v 43.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.4% in the Premier League, while FC Astana holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Astana

Probability

60.4%

Model confidence

60.4%

FC Astana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC AstanaDWDDD

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FK Tobol KostanayDLLLW

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FC AstanaFK Tobol Kostanay
55.0Attack35.0
65.0Defence53.3
63.3Form36.7
61.9Power43.8
1.74xG0.63
View match centre →