Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Astana · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
FC Astana are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Altay are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Astana hold a 24.0-point power-rating edge (61.9 v 37.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.0% in the Premier League, while FC Astana holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Astana
Probability
68.0%
Model confidence
68.0%
FC Astana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00