GGOALVIO

FC Aarau logoFC AarauvsUnion Berlin logoUnion Berlin

COMPLETED

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/18/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Union Berlin · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

FC Aarau are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Union Berlin are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Aarau hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 49.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Union Berlin holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 86% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Union Berlin

Probability

38.4%

Model confidence

38.4%

Union Berlin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC AarauLLLDD

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Union BerlinDLDWW

GF 18 · GA 6 · avg 3.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FC AarauUnion Berlin
62.5Attack83.3
37.5Defence36.7
50.0Form40.0
53.0Power49.4
2.57xG2.80
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