FC Aarauvs
Stade Nyonnais
COMPLETEDSwitzerland · Challenge League · 8/7/2026, 6:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Aarau · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
FC Aarau are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Stade Nyonnais are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Aarau hold a 20.9-point power-rating edge (43.8 v 22.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.3% in the Challenge League, while FC Aarau holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Aarau
Probability
49.6%
Model confidence
12.3%
FC Aarau has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20