GGOALVIO

Switzerland · Challenge League · 8/1/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FC Aarau are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Stade Lausanne-Ouchy are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Stade Lausanne-Ouchy hold a 31.5-point power-rating edge (43.8 v 75.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.5% in the Challenge League, while Stade Lausanne-Ouchy holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

Probability

44.5%

Model confidence

44.5%

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC AarauLWLLL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Stade Lausanne-OuchyWWWLL

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FC AarauStade Lausanne-Ouchy
33.3Attack55.6
44.4Defence88.9
44.4Form77.8
43.8Power75.3
1.17xG1.62
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