GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 6/30/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Aarau · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

FC Aarau are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while St. Gallen II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Aarau hold a 32.8-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 20.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while FC Aarau holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Aarau

Probability

49.0%

Model confidence

49.0%

FC Aarau has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC AarauLDDWW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
St. Gallen IILLDWW

GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FC AarauSt. Gallen II
62.5Attack44.4
37.5Defence0.0
50.0Form0.0
53.0Power20.2
2.82xG1.55
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