FC 08 Homburgvs
FSV Mainz 05 II
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - SudWest · 8/8/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC 08 Homburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
FC 08 Homburg are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while FSV Mainz 05 II are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FC 08 Homburg hold a 9.0-point power-rating edge (58.5 v 49.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.6% in the Regionalliga - SudWest, while FC 08 Homburg holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC 08 Homburg
Probability
60.6%
Model confidence
60.6%
FC 08 Homburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00