GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/4/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC 08 Homburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Mediumconfidence

FC 08 Homburg are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while FC Emmelshausen-Karbach are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FC 08 Homburg hold a 52.1-point power-rating edge (68.5 v 16.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while FC 08 Homburg holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC 08 Homburg

Probability

81.1%

Model confidence

11.5%

FC 08 Homburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC 08 HomburgWWLDL

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
FC Emmelshausen-KarbachWLWWW

GF 16 · GA 11 · avg 3.20/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
FC 08 HomburgFC Emmelshausen-Karbach
70.4Attack33.3
70.4Defence0.0
66.7Form0.0
68.5Power16.3
3.14xG0.77
View match centre →