GGOALVIO

Peru · Liga Women · 6/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Alianza Lima W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Highconfidence

FBC Melgar W are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Alianza Lima W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Lima W hold a 30.7-point power-rating edge (45.6 v 76.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.4% in the Liga Women, while Alianza Lima W holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Alianza Lima W

Probability

50.4%

Model confidence

50.4%

Alianza Lima W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FBC Melgar WDLWWW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Alianza Lima WWLDLW

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
FBC Melgar WAlianza Lima W
62.2Attack94.1
37.8Defence78.4
44.4Form74.5
45.6Power76.4
1.18xG3.57
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