GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 4/19/2026, 10:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FBC Melgar are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Universitario are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 57.8 against 58.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.6% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

35.6%

Model confidence

35.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FBC MelgarWLDDL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
UniversitarioLDWDW

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
FBC MelgarUniversitario
57.1Attack46.0
58.7Defence68.3
55.6Form57.1
57.8Power58.7
1.16xG1.04
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