GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 1/17/2026, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FBC Melgar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FBC Melgar are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while UCV Moquegua are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FBC Melgar hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while FBC Melgar holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FBC Melgar

Probability

39.9%

Model confidence

39.9%

FBC Melgar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FBC MelgarDWLWD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
UCV MoqueguaWWLWD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FBC MelgarUCV Moquegua
0.0Attack0.0
66.7Defence33.3
0.0Form0.0
23.7Power15.3
1.86xG1.44
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