GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 7/26/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FBC Melgar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FBC Melgar are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Sporting Cristal are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and FBC Melgar hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (57.8 v 48.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.9% in the Primera División, while FBC Melgar holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FBC Melgar

Probability

52.9%

Model confidence

52.9%

FBC Melgar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FBC MelgarWDDDL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Sporting CristalDWDWW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
FBC MelgarSporting Cristal
57.1Attack52.4
58.7Defence47.6
55.6Form41.3
57.8Power48.6
1.98xG1.15
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